Geoff Colvin produced a column in which he delivered a resounding "No" for an answer. His claim is that the focus should be on service industries. He rightly claims that manufacturing is driven by ever increasing efficiency and increasing productivity, and that the number of jobs per unit of activity has gone down and will continue to go down even if manufacturing continues to grow.
There are several things wrong with Colvin’s suggestion that the administration ignore manufacturing and focus on services. While manufacturing can be characterized as directly creating few jobs, it has to be allowed that it creates relatively well-paid jobs. At the same time the service jobs that are well paid are very few. Finance creates wealth but not much employment. Most service jobs being created are low-paying positions.
Jon Gertner addresses Colvin’s concerns in an article in the New York Times aptly titled Does America Need Manufacturing? Colvin’s focus is the initiative to make the US competitive in advanced battery manufacture for the electric cars of the future.
Colvin makes the mistake of ignoring the peripheral activities that make manufacturing possible and my not show up as a "manufacturing" job. In particular he fails to recognize the cumulative beneficial effects of growing new technologies and intellectual capital in order to produce competitive manufactured products. Gertner refers to an influential article by Harvard professors Gary Pisano and Willy Shih.
"When I spoke with Pisano, he noted that industries like semiconductor chips — the heart of computers and consumer electronics — require the establishment of ‘an industrial commons,’ the skills shared by a large, interlocking group of workers at universities and corporations and in government. The commons loses its vitality if crucial parts of it, like factories or materials suppliers, move abroad, as they mostly have in the case of semiconductors. At first the factories leave; the researchers and development engineers soon follow."
"The most punishing effect, however, may be the one that can’t be measured — the technologies and jobs that aren’t created because the industrial ecosystem is degraded."
We seem to have drifted into a stage where we could be creative in conceptualizing and designing high-value products that could take advantage of cheap labor overseas without losing anything in the marketplace. The cheap labor has now become more expensive and the countries we would ship our designs to for production are now in a position to compete with us in R&D and design. If we do not reestablish a healthy domestic manufacturing base, we may find ourselves in a position where we need them but they don’t need us.
Gertner describes our entry into the battery business as requiring us to purchase the technology in total from South Korea.
"Repatriating a high-tech manufacturing plant to the United States is not simply a matter of hiring the local talent. It requires good-old foreign know-how. ‘We call it "copy exact,"’ Forcier said. ‘We bought a company in Korea that had the technology around this type of battery and had developed the manufacturing process there. We basically brought that here, copied it exactly and scaled it up.’ A123 also brought a team of six Korean engineers to help transfer the technology to the U.S. and sent a team of Americans to Korea to learn."
The battery initiative may not directly produce a number of jobs sufficient to make a dent in our unemployment rolls, but it will establish a technical base that can be applied in other areas, and it will have kept many billions of dollars in circulation in this country rather than being shipped to other countries. Lessening the amount of funds that are bled out overseas will do wonders for our economy and for the job picture.
As for Colvin’s idea of focusing on service activities, if we have to choose between providing one $24 an hour job or three $8 an hour jobs, which choice is best for the country? I will vote for the former. I would rather create one family-sustaining job, than three that will require assistance from Food Stamps, Medicaid, and the Earned Income Tax Credit for survival.
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