In struggling to understand the nation’s politics, one is struck by the effectiveness of the Republican Party in getting people to vote
for their candidates even if the policies of those candidates seem to have no relationship
to the economic needs of the voters. The
Democrats represent the counter example of a Party that focuses on policies
directed at relieving voters of their problems but seems to have the most
difficulty in consistently turning out voters.
Tony Judt lamented this decline in progressive voters’ focus in his book
Ill Fares the Land and produced this explanation.
“We no longer have political
movements. While thousands of us may
come together for a rally or a march, we are bound together on such occasions
by a single shared interest. Any effort
to convert such interests into collective goals is usually undermined by the
fragmented individualism of our concerns.
Laudable goals—fighting climate change, opposing war, advocating public
healthcare or penalizing bankers—are united by nothing more than the expression
of emotion. In our political, as in our
economic lives, we have become consumers: choosing from a broad gamut of
competing objectives, we find it hard to imagine ways or reasons to combine
these into a coherent whole.”
There seems to be truth in this analysis, but it does not
help explain why Republicans are more effective in turning out their
voters. The arrival of Donald Trump on
the scene has proved unsettling in many ways, but his effect on voters may help
explain what really makes them behave as they do.
Trump’s election generated a number of massive protests
and marches objecting to him and his policies.
Dana R. Fisher has followed these activities through the 2018 midterm
elections and reports her observations in the book American Resistance: From the Women's March to the Blue Wave. The Resistance is the assembly of outraged
citizens who were driven to participate in activities that would both protest
and counter Trump’s activities and policies.
It is somewhat similar to the Tea Party activities in response to Obama
and his policies. There is some evidence
that those efforts were subsidized and coordinated by big-money Republican
interests. The current Resistance
appears to be a real grass-roots movement, generated partly by the inability of
the Democratic Party apparatus to participate effectively at local levels.
“The
Resistance is a product of the president’s behavior combined with the response
by Americans to an out-of-touch Democratic Party and the reach of conservative
dark money in politics.”
What Trump has accomplished is
the combination of all the diverse progressive factions mentioned by Judt into
a movement to drive him out of office in the next election.
“Because
it is a countermovement with a common enemy, it is possible to bring diverse
streams of progressive activism together even though they have historically
competed for resources, energy, and attention.
As I document in this book, the Resistance represents a merging of
movements working together to form the river of resistance we see today. It includes Black Lives Matter, Occupy Wall
Street, and the women’s, antigun violence, and the climate movements, among
others.”
Fisher identifies “moral outrage”
as the necessary driver to generate Resistance activities (and those of the Tea
Party as well).
“To
understand the growth of the Resistance, it is important to look at the ways
that disconnected individuals mobilize.
In other words, what gets the disconnected nonjoiners off their sofas
and into the streets and town hall meetings?
The answer is moral shocks: ‘when an event or situation raises
such a sense of outrage in people that they become inclined toward political
action, even in the absence of a network of contacts’.”
This concept of moral outrage
seems even more fundamental than Fisher’s perspective makes it. Viewed through the prism of moral outrage,
the consistent and dependable behavior of Republican voters becomes understandable. The Republican voters consist of a contingent
of the wealthy who are permanently outraged at the notion that their wealth might
be diminished by taxation or regulation, a contingent of white voters who were
outraged at the notion of a black president and who are permanently outraged (whether
they admit it or not) at the notion of equality between races, and a contingent
of the religious who are outraged by the disrespect they and their beliefs
receive from liberals. While the Democrats
argue policies, the Republicans fan the flames of moral outrage.
The Democrats seem united, for
the moment, in their outrage at Trump, yet policy differences could still cause
some to break ranks. Younger voters who see
themselves as being generally excluded from the “good life” their elders have
enjoyed view the leftish policies promoted by Bernie Sanders as the only path
forward. It is not yet clear that they
would universally vote for a less ambitious candidate.
The lesson that moral outrage
should teach democrats is that and the Republican candidate for president is
far worse than any candidate the democrats might nominate. The Republican agenda is not only illiberal,
it is also undemocratic; and it is inconsistent with the way of life favored by
progressives.
It is sad to say, but the Republican
Party views the Democratic Party as an existential threat. Winning is everything. The democrats must also view republicans as
an existential threat—even after Trump is gone.
Losing is not an option.
It seems the only solution to
this standoff is for one party to lose so definitively that it must
reconstitute itself with a new agenda.
That is not likely in the foreseeable future.
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